Homeland
Security's Science & Technology Directorate and Dams Sector partners team
up to develop new software systems for fast simulation of catastrophic flooding
"…to Thomas Coleman , a retired
longshoreman who died in his attic on St. Roch Avenue in New Orleans 8th Ward
on or about Aug 29th, 2005. He had a can of juice and a bedspread at his side
when the waters rose….There were more than a thousand like him."
-
Chris Rose, 1 Dead in Attic
All over the country, millions of
Americans still live behind dams or levees, and if these were to fail and
unleash catastrophic flooding, as some did in New Orleans in 2005, property,
and of course life, might once again pay the price. "Oh, my city... in
case you haven't heard, Budweiser ain't delivering," Rose grieved, with a
surreal humor and poignancy only a true New Orleans survivor could muster.
"Katrina changed everything."
Answers to at least some of the problem
are now on the way, thanks to a team led by the Department of Homeland
Security's (DHS) Science and Technology Directorate (S&T), and they come in
the form of some remarkable computer software.
When dam and levee owners and emergency
planners want to know what flood water over a breached levee or dam may do as
it spreads, they must resort to technical specialists who use numerical
modeling software to solve very complex equations that describe how water will
spread over a particular terrain. Through complex equations, specialists
calculate how water will move around physical objects such as hills, buildings,
vegetation, bridges, and railroads. With such factors in play, calculating and
modeling flood inundation caused by a dam failure can take a lot of time and
resources and keep emergency planners and dam owners up at night worrying.
Powerful software tools have been
combined into a seamless Web application, combining speed with sophisticated
technology to visualize a flood, address consequences, and properly train
emergency responders.
And this new tool is fast. Really fast. If
a flood would take 24 hours to inundate downstream areas, this software tool
could potentially model the inundation in less than 24 minutes.
S&T combined the talents of several
agency experts and academics to better understand what the owners and operators
would need from the software. S&T worked with dam experts at the Office of
Infrastructure Protection (which serves as the Dams Sector-Specific Agency)
within the DHS' National Protection and Programs Directorate to develop the
flood simulation tool, and with experts at the University of Mississippi -
specifically the National Center for Computational Hydroscience and Engineering
(UM-NCCHE)'s world-renowned computational hydroscientist, Mustafa Altinakar,
and his team.
This effort was funded by S&T's Southeast
Region Research Initiative (SERRI) and managed by S&T's Infrastructure
Protection and Disaster Management Division's Mike Matthews. The key component
of the project is DSS-WISE™ (Decision Support System for Water Infrastructural
Security) and the underlying flood simulator, CCHE2D-FLOOD™, which provides
unmatched ‘number-crunching' speed. The flood simulator can replicate flooding
caused by any cataclysm less fateful than The Great Deluge: a breached levee, a
failed dam, a surging tide, a tsunami - even water waves caused by massive
landslides.
In 2010, when one-fifth of Pakistan's
land was underwater, hydraulic engineers at the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
(USACE) used DSS-WISE™ to help the country reallocate resources. Time was
essential, and to achieve its unprecedented speed, the "DSS-WISE™ guys,"
as Altinakar affectionately calls them, use several methods to ensure success.
First, DSS-WISE™ selectively prioritizes affected regions. It also processes
only the model's "skeleton," or wireframe, while applying the
"skin" afterward. Finally, it divides the flood path model into tens
of millions of geometric cells, using parallel processing to parcel them out to
separate processors.
The other critical piece of the puzzle is the
Dams Sector Analysis Tool, or DSAT. This powerful Web-based application -
developed by the Dams Sector-Specific Agency in collaboration with USACE
Headquarters' Office of Homeland Security, who co-sponsored the development of
DSAT - is a one-stop shop where dam owners and operators have secure access to
state-of-the-art analytical capabilities within a user-friendly graphical
environment. Dam owners and operators use algorithms in DSAT to identify and
prioritize the most critical dams within their portfolios. Considering that
there are more than 84,000 dams across the country, this is no easy task. DSAT
also incorporates a state-of-the art geospatial viewer that provides powerful
query capabilities as well as access to real-time information (earthquakes,
weather, etc.).
The DSAT interface is extremely
intuitive and mastered with little training. With DSAT, a dam owner or operator
can prepare the input data required for the flood simulation using DSS-WISE™.
For example, to characterize a potential dam failure scenario, operators would
define the reservoir, identify the main dam, note structures using satellite
imagery, and specify the type failure to be considered: a "sudden and
complete failure" or a "gradual and partial breaching." DSAT
does the rest - drawing data from the National Inventory of Dams (NID),
maintained by the USACE. The data are then bundled into a data file and emailed
to a dedicated server at Ole Miss, where the simulation is run. When the
simulation ends, the server automatically notifies the user, who may then
upload the results on DSAT, where they are rendered onto a map.
"It works similarly to Apple's
Siri," says Altinakar, referring to the iPhone's intelligent digital
assistant. "There's no way all that processing could occur in the user's
computer - or phone - so it's handed off to an external server. It looks simple
to the consumer, but I assure you, it's not."
The two software systems - DSS-WISE™ and DSAT
- are both effective enough to stand on their own, but their integration into a
powerful system elevates the capacity for flood simulation. The DSAT geospatial
viewer includes a function called DSS-WISE™ Prep. Select your dam on a map,
fill in a few facts, direct DSAT how high the reservoir will be when the flood
starts, and click Begin. The request is bundled into a data file and
automatically sent to the DSS-WISE™ flood simulator. As the simulation unfolds,
the consumer will not see heavy activity but will immediately receive automatic
progress reports by email.
The DSS-Wise™ Prep module was launched
on the DSAT portal on February 20, and days later, it welcomed its first user,
delivering results in just 15 minutes. By March, queries poured in from dam
owners, state dam safety officials, and emergency managers in seven states -
each looking to lower costs, work faster, and make sounder planning decisions.
Like all SERRI projects, flood modeling
projects have combined science and technology with validated operational
approaches to solve local and regional problems that have a national impact.
Looking back on the tragedy of Katrina,
writer Chris Rose ended his 2006 book with a chapter titled, "A New
Dawn." In it he wrote:
"Last year ended with everything so
unsettled; just a million questions piled up on the curbside like so much
debris, the answers just beginning to be formulated in our heads…. It's just
one small step at a time, small triumphs… Who says there's no good news?"
The powerful software from DHS - now
easily available to dam owners and emergency planners - is just some of that
good news.
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